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Risk Analysis and Management:

N.Nagarajan I.A.& A.S

Introduction:

Risk can be defined as any perceived threat or disruption to an ongoing activity. This risk can be broadly categorized in to one due to Management and Organization, Accuracy and completeness, Security, Auditability and timeliness and recoverability.

The scope and direction for audit work should be determined by assessing those areas representing the greatest risk to the organization. There are many approaches to risk analysis, but ideally it acts as a process for risk management within the organization separate and apart from auditing. If risk assessment and management is not a formal process within the organization, then the auditor must assess risks and risk management and find ways to communicate with management to assure consistent views on risks.

Sometimes auditors will focus on business controls, forgetting that controls exist for the purpose of managing risk. Auditors, too, may pursue risk reduction rather than perceiving the importance of risk management.

Often managers outside of auditing do not think of management responsibilities in terms of controls. Instead they think of the processes and activities they manage, and consider how to manage risks. Therefore, an important communication tool for auditors is a clear and understood identification and assessment of risks. On the one hand, managers understand risks and can probably describe the most significant risks facing them. On the other hand, auditors can supplement the manager’s list of risks by asking questions about the types of things auditors know that can typically go wrong. It is generally more effective to proceed from a discussion of risks to an assessment of the controls than to start by talking about controls.

The list of risks provided by management and supplemented by the auditor is the first element of the auditor’s risk analysis. The next steps involve assessing the probabilities of exposures resulting from risks and the potential costs. For this, an auditor can use tools as simple as spreadsheets or databases, or can opt for more complex systems possibly tied into an integrated audit management system. Whatever the approach and tools used, the auditor’s risk assessment should be shared with management and a general consensus sought to ensure effective communication of objectives, priority and scope of the audits.

Case Study:

1 Risk assessment and Management in an EDI environment:  

1.1 Carrying out a risk analysis and management reviews enable management to make objective decisions on the risks to its systems. It also identifies the justifiable counter measures to maintain the confidentiality, integrity and availability of IT systems

Basic criteria are 1) current situation, 2) threat faced, together with an assessment of vulnerability, 3) value or impact of these risks in business terms, 4) how these risks may be reduced, mitigated, transferred or eliminated, 5) why action needs to be taken and 6) what actions are available, consequences and cost benefit of each.

1.2 Observation:

To a query whether formal risk analysis has been done and management method used to provide an objective assessment of level of protection needed to reduce security risk the Department has replied that all required measures have been taken to prevent security breach and remained silent about the risk analysis. It was observed during audit that the Department has not carried out a comprehensive risk assessment.

The Department has stated that they do not have the necessary competence or resources to conduct risk assessment. The Ministry of Finance has been requested to provide same.

The Department has also stated that it is quite a complex task to accurately assess threats and vulnerability and audit’s recommendation to have a proper risk analysis based on CRAMM system is being considered.

In the absence of a comprehensive risk assessment and management method audit is unable to ascertain the systems capability to overcome risks and function normally in the eventuality of materializing of risks

1.3 Risk:

Type

Perceived risk

Management and Organization

Risk of EDI on the organizations control structure

Accuracy and completeness

 

EDI gives scope to generate inaccurate and inappropriate transaction

Security

 

EDI introduces risks in the area of unauthorized transaction sets and improper use and disclosure of business information

Auditability

 

Loss of proper audit trails and difficulties in manual verification

Timeliness and recoverability

 

Risks like disruption/delays in processing or transmission, increased dependence and increased vulnerability of operation, domino effect on partners

This may result in business discontinuity, (e.g. the longer a fraud remains undetected more loss in terms of value and confidence and adverse publicity). Any disruption in service may have an impact on customer satisfaction, loss of confidentiality of sensitive information (Inadvertent disclosure in mail box system), increased exposure to fraud and increased reliance on third parties. Data processing and communication errors results in transmission of incorrect trading information and also results in reporting of inaccurate information to the management. Ultimately it may result in possible loss of audit trail. 

1.4 Recommendation:

Threats and vulnerabilities should be identified and their levels accurately assessed in terms of fire, water damage, natural disaster, staff shortage, willful damage, theft, system infiltration, misuse of resources, equipment power or environmental failure, errors by operators programmers engineers or users. The Department should ensure that results are consistent across the broad spectrum of systems reviewed. Formal risk analysis and management methods are now more necessary than ever to cope with complex security problems presented by the IT systems.

Type

Recommendations

Management and Organization

Should assess the impact of EDI on organizations control structure and ensure that the risks are properly managed

Accuracy and completeness

EDI gives scope to generate inaccurate and in appropriate transaction

Integrity controls should be designed upfront into EDI systems to ensure that transactions are accurate and complete at the interchange, functional group and transaction set level

Security

EDI introduces risks in the area of unauthorized transaction sets and improper use and disclosure of business information

Controls should ensure that all related software & data are adequately protected against unauthorized disclosure or change during storage or transmission, that physical access is restricted and most cost effective EDI security solution is pursued

Auditability

Loss of proper audit trails and difficulties in manual verification

Controls should ensure that adequate audit trails with regard to transaction data and the ability to pre verify and adequately monitor electronic authorization controls and integrity controls are maintained

Timeliness and recoverability

Risks like disruption/delays in processing or transmission, increased dependence and increased vulnerability of operation.

Controls should ensure that appropriate backup, retention and contingency plan are in place to minimize the system outage or transmission failure on existing system and other partners

Department must undertake a proper risk analysis method based on CRAMM and must develop a contingency plan for any risks. It

v      Should set up EDI industry workgroup

v      Must specify interchange standards, security operations,

v      Must review risk associated with the application and assess the extent of additional controls required,

v      All potential risks should be identified and assessed.

v      A record log of all matters relating to breakdown in computer security should be kept to assist and prevent future risks.

v      Data security and formal data communication policy should be formulated.

Department has agreed with the views of audit to have a comprehensive Risk Analysis done.

Conclusion:

Risk assessment is an iterative process, the result of which should be maintained in such a way as to facilitate reference and updating by auditors during subsequent audit projects.

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Revised: January 14, 2008

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